Underrated Potential MLB Hall of Famers
May 23, 2019
Outside of Albert Pujols and Mike Trout, there are a few major leaguers that are sure fire Hall of Famers that are not as guaranteed, but truly deserve it as well. .
First off, based on Wins Above Replacement, the average Hall of Famer sits at about 50, but usually 65 WAR is a lock into Cooperstown. Currently, four active players sit on top of the 65 mark, Robinson Cano, Albert Pujols, Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera. Each of those are next to guaranteed Hall of Famers, however, with Robinson Cano’s recent steroid suspension, his reputation might be hindered. Another stat that nearly locks a player in is the 3000 hit mark, and currently, Nick Markakis in on pace to hit that number by the 2023 season, when he is 39 years old. Markakis is only a 33.6 WAR player. Markakis is currently only 720 hits away from 3000, and through his career has averaged about 180 per season.
Another potential Hall of Famer is Paul Goldschmidt. Goldschmidt has been worth a 41.1 WAR through his first nine seasons as a big leaguer, and has gotten roughly six per season in his career. If you take that math, and extend it out over the life of his newly signed Cardinal contract, he will early roughly 33 more WAR, nearly doubling his total, and finishing his Cardinal tenure with a 74.4 WAR, equivalent with Reggie Jackson’s total.
Finally, Mookie Betts, who is only 26, has amassed a 37 WAR through his first six years of MLB. That is a very good pace, and if he were to play 12 more years in the majors, he could become a 100 WAR player, something only a handful of players could do.
However, the knock on the first two is that age does not come easy. Both Goldschmidt and Markakis will eventually decline in their abilities, and may not be able to keep up with the pace that they are currently holding up right now.
Only time will tell if these players and others not listed will be elected into the Hall of Fame after their career is over.